Home Player Backgrounds Casualties Luck Post Game Analysis December 16 AM December 16 PM December 17AM December 17 PM December 18 AM December 18 PM December 19 AM December 19 PM December 20 AM December 20 PM December 21 AM December 21 PM December 22 AM December 22 PM December 23 AM December 23 PM December 24 AM December 24 PM December 25 AM December 25 PM December 26 AM | |
"SS Cavalry..."
German 19 AM |
Allied 19 AM
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The
Germans are confronted yet again with a puncture proof Allied
defense. The good news is that 2nd SS Panzer Korps is on the march
and should be able to provide a nice threat on 19PM. (2SS Pz went
to 6th Army while 9SS Pz went to 5th Army.) I'm not happy about
the commitment of so many forces to the Eupen area and will be shifting
them out. US Paratroopers will be making their presence felt in
the center and south and the result will be that many attacks will not
get an ER modifier shift. Randy's units seem to be digging in too
so I really need to put some heat on! No exciting attacks, all of
them relatively low and, as always, I'm hoping for attrition. Post-Combat
Comments: Wow. Great results with 5 US steps
eliminated. (All three units of the US 7th Armored were reduced!) The cost, beyond the 4 German steps also eliminated,
was that very little ground was gained. I don't think I'm worried
about that too much as, at some point, I expect the US to scamper away
and at that point I should be gobbling up territory. Now that
Bastogne is 'officially' surrounded, I have to start thinking about a
potential assault. As my record shows, I'm not averse to
assaulting it late. Or avoiding it altogether! Randy has it
fully defended so my assault will probably involve a full Panzer Korps
with a maximum bombardment effort. My decision will probably be
based on the rest of the map and not any specific attack plan. The
next three turns will be critical as I feel I must really 'turn the
corner' on inflicting US casualties; the Allies still have a lot of
units for this stage of the game and can easily cork up my march
westwards.... --Tom |
Tom
sounds almost too embarrassed to expound on the 19AM combat results - 7
relatively low odds attacks, to include five 2-1's and 1-1's all resulting
in Firefights. The Allied field force is now fairly brittle and fast
approaching a crossroads in the need for a change in strategy. Not only
will this make a stiffening of the defense less of a possibility, but it
will mean not being able to create a counterattack reserve with the soon
to arrive U.S. 3rd Armor. Splitting up the division to throw in as a fire
brigade will no doubt be its fate. It's
time to gamble with the American defense. The weight of IISS Panzer Corps
is about to be unleashed. As Bob Ryan pointed out in his recent posting,
the Germans need to start giving serious consideration to heading due West
and quickly breaching the Ourthe River Line. This is the absolute last
turn I can hang on to Eupen without giving up its defenders to a
surrounded position. U.S. 9/39 will have to be backed off on its Northern
flank. I am going to give Tom a 1/3 chance of surrounding Eupen and its
gallant defenders, but it will take a good part of the SS armor to pull it
off, armor which may be better utilized heading NW of Vielsalm and
attacking toward Werbomont. If the 1/3 chance against Eupen fails, it will
leave Tom behind the 8 ball on his time schedule. If he succeeds, it may
very well take another turn to digest the defenders. By then, he may be
looking at sundown on the 20th. I reiterate that my big ace in hand is my
artillery arm. Alas, one beleaguered artillery unit is out of position
near La Roche. It will take some careful manipulation over the next turn
or two to extricate it. In closing, I will take the opportunity to sting a
couple of lone German infantry with counterattacks, albeit of little
significance at this time. Allied
19AM combat results just rolled in and the pesky German infantry ran away
on a 7-1(-1). (I hope that's not a harbinger of what's to come.) However,
the bright spot is a key bridge at hex 3023 was blown. I'm anxiously
waiting to see if Tom interprets Eupen as a trap or as opportunity.
-- Randy |
LQ Rating: 1.85 |
LQ Rating: 3.75 |
Public Comments:
It appears to be pretty close, but why has the German committed so much
strength at Eupen? -- Head West Tom!
-- Bob Ryan
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German Combat
Red = Outcome (LQ
Rating) Blue = German unit
Green = Allied Unit 1908: Adj + 388 Art
(40) vs 8 + 187A (13) @2-1(-1) = 5 = 4 = FF (1)
Reduce 7/CCA, Reduce 18/294
1706: Adj (41) vs 3 + 190,406A (13) @2-1(-2)
= 1 = D4 (3.5)
30/119(r) to 2106; 1SS/1 to 1705; Peiper,
277/990 to 1706;
1SS/2, 326/753(r) to 1806
2112: Adj (33) vs 6 + 333A (11) @2-1 = 4 = FF (1)
Reduce 1/26; Reduce 3/5
2617: Adj (30) vs 5 + 402A (10)@2-1(-2) = 2 = 0 = D3 (3.5)
28/110 to 2917; 116/60 to 2617; 116/156,
2/304 to 2618
2622: Adj + 401,406,766A (52) vs 8 + 174A @3-1(-2) = 1 = -1 = 1D1 (1)
Reduce 7/CCB, retreat to
2722; Lehr/902, Lehr/Recon, 212/316
to 2622
2631: 2532 + 2/3 (25) vs 8 @2-1 = 4 = FF (2)
Reduce 101/506; Reduce 212/320
1503: Adj vs 22 @1-1 = 3 = FF (1)
Reduce 7/CCR; Reduce 326/751
Allied Combat 2415:
10/CCA, 1/26(r), 333 (16) vs 560/1128 (3) 4-1(-1) = 4 = D3 (4.5)
560/1128 to 2216 1807:
7/CCA(r), 187, 190 (14) vs *277/991 (2) 7-1(-1) = 6 = 5 = D4 (6)
277/991(r)
to 1809 Bridge
Demolitions 1403 (1-3) = 6 (4.5)
*Fizzle*
1603 (1-4) = 4 (2.5) Boom!
2111 (1-4) = 2 (2.5) Boom!
3023 (1-4) = 1 (2.5) Boom!
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